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Simon Willison's Weblog Supports Webmention Valid
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Oxide and Friends Predictions 2026, today at 4pm PT

Oxide and Friends Predictions 2026, today at 4pm PT

I joined the Oxide and Friends podcast last year to predict the next 1, 3 and 6 years(!) of AI developments. With hindsight I did very badly, but they're inviting me back again anyway to have another go.

We will be recording live today at 4pm Pacific on their Discord - you can join that here, and the podcast version will go out shortly afterwards.

I'll be recording at their office in Emeryville and then heading to the Crucible to learn how to make neon signs.

Via Bryan Cantrill

Tags: podcasts, ai, llms, oxide

Dan’s Polaroids
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05.01.2026

A reflection of me in a large christmas tree ball. Twigs surrounding it.
A toppled christmas tree.

kottke.org Valid
Text • Jason Kottke

What We Will Use as Weapons: A List of School Supplies

In 2024, schoolteacher Ginny Robinson won the Best in Show award at a quilting convention for her quilt called What We Will Use as Weapons: A List of School Supplies. This is a protest quilt. It was made by an artist whose day job puts her on the front lines of one of th...

kottke.org Valid
Text • Jason Kottke

M. Gessen on the new world order the Trump regime seems eager...

M. Gessen on the new world order the Trump regime seems eager to bring about. “If Trump can take Venezuela and Putin can take Ukraine, surely President Xi Jinping of China can take Taiwan.”

kottke.org Valid
Text • Jason Kottke

The Media Refuses to Call Trump’s Venezuela Attack an Act of War....

The Media Refuses to Call Trump’s Venezuela Attack an Act of War. “Overwhelmingly, the US media and its purportedly straight reporters have adopted wholesale the White House’s pseudo-legalistic, limited framework of an ‘operation’ to ‘arrest’ Maduro.”

kottke.org Valid
Text • Jason Kottke

We Are the Bad Guys. “What do we call it when a...

We Are the Bad Guys. “What do we call it when a stronger person decides to rob a weaker person because he can? It is just gangsterism. We are the most dangerous gangsters in the world today.”

kottke.org Valid
Text • Jason Kottke

Isaac Chotiner interviews Oona Hathaway, an expert in international law, about the...

Isaac Chotiner interviews Oona Hathaway, an expert in international law, about the “brazen illegality” of the Trump regime’s invasion of Venezuela to kidnap president Nicolás Maduro.

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Our New Year’s Travel Resolutions

The staff of Atlas Obscura share their new year’s travel resolutions – the things we want to change about how we travel or see the world this year.        

Plus, we want to hear stories about the interesting or unusual places where you’ve stayed the night. How did you find it? Who did you go with? What made the experience of staying there good… or bad? Give us a call at 315-992-7902 and leave a message telling us your name and story. Our mailbox will cut you off after three minutes so please call again if you get disconnected. Or better yet, you can record a voice memo and email it to us at hello@atlasobscura.com.


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Simon Willison's Weblog Supports Webmention
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The November 2025 inflection point

It genuinely feels to me like GPT-5.2 and Opus 4.5 in November represent an inflection point - one of those moments where the models get incrementally better in a way that tips across an invisible capability line where suddenly a whole bunch of much harder coding problems open up.

Tags: anthropic, claude, openai, ai, llms, gpt-5, ai-assisted-programming, generative-ai, claude-4

Daring Fireball Valid
Text • John Gruber

NFL Playoff Scenarios

nflplayoffscenarios.com/

What a great site (and Bluesky account) this is. Just what it says on the tin: all the scenarios for how the NFL playoff seedings can shake out, presented very plainly but clearly. The old-school World Wide Web still has a beating heart.

Link: nflplayoffscenarios.com/

Simon Willison's Weblog Supports Webmention
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Quoting Addy Osmani

With enough users, every observable behavior becomes a dependency - regardless of what you promised. Someone is scraping your API, automating your quirks, caching your bugs.

This creates a career-level insight: you can’t treat compatibility work as “maintenance” and new features as “real work.” Compatibility is product.

Design your deprecations as migrations with time, tooling, and empathy. Most “API design” is actually “API retirement.”

— Addy Osmani, 21 lessons from 14 years at Google

Tags: api-design, addy-osmani, careers, google

Dan’s Polaroids
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04.01.2026

A girl in pink snow clothing on a tiny sledge. A woman on a wooden sledge behind here. Snow and trees all around.
A day in the snow.

Simon Willison's Weblog Supports Webmention
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Helping people write code again

Something I like about our weird new LLM-assisted world is the number of people I know who are coding again, having mostly stopped as they moved into management roles or lost their personal side project time to becoming parents. AI assistance means you can get something usef...

Simon Willison's Weblog Supports Webmention
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Quoting Jaana Dogan

I'm not joking and this isn't funny. We have been trying to build distributed agent orchestrators at Google since last year. There are various options, not everyone is aligned... I gave Claude Code a description of the problem, it generated what we built last year in an hou...

Daring Fireball Valid
Text • John Gruber

Matthew Dowd Exposes the Pickle 1 XR Glasses as a Preposterous Fraud

x.com/thedowd/status/2007337800430198913?s=20

Matthew Dowd, in a long, devastatingly careful post on Twitter/X: If they’re suggesting their waveguide displays are bright enough and vibrant enough to see clearly in direct sunlight, that would be yet another innovation they’ve discovered that every other player in the...

Daring Fireball Valid
Text • John Gruber

Listen Later

listenlater.net/?referrer=df

My thanks to Listen Later for sponsoring this week at DF. Listen Later is a super simple, super useful service that turns articles into podcast episodes. When you sign up, you get a custom email address to send articles to; every article you forward to your Listen Later addr...

kottke.org Valid
Text • Jason Kottke

Evergreen: No Blood For Oil vs. Exactly How Much Oil Are We...

Evergreen: No Blood For Oil vs. Exactly How Much Oil Are We Talking About?

💬 Join the discussion on kottke.org →

Dan’s Polaroids
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03.01.2026

A rectangular pizza photographed from the side. A pizza slicer blurred in the background.
Finally a day without agenda. Stayed home all day. Made pizza.

Simon Willison's Weblog Supports Webmention
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Was Daft Punk Having a Laugh When They Chose the Tempo of Harder, Better, Faster, Stronger?

Was Daft Punk Having a Laugh When They Chose the Tempo of Harder, Better, Faster, Stronger?

Depending on how you measure it, the tempo of Harder, Better, Faster, Stronger appears to be 123.45 beats per minute.

This is one of those things that's so cool I'm just going to accept it as true.

(I only today learned from the Hacker News comments that Veridis Quo is "Very Disco", and if you flip the order of those words you get Discovery, the name of the album.)

Via Kottke

Tags: music

xkcd.com Valid
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Conic Sections

They're not generally used for crewed spacecraft because astronauts HATE going around the corners.