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Nicholas Carlini
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AI forecasting retrospective: you're (probably) over-confident

A one-year review of people's predictions on an AI-forecasting survey I made last year. Most people were over-confident in their predictions.

A Smart Bear
Text • Jason Cohen

Our unhealthy fixation with emulating #1

Our unhealthy fixation with emulating #1
Our unhealthy fixation with emulating #1

Being "undefeated" or "number 1" might be more luck than you know.

Scripting News Valid
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A new Bluesky feature

My feed readers on Bluesky now use the metadata in the pages we link to to show a title, picture and description for each post that offers the metadata.

Like this page, the one you're reading right now at this moment.

And here's a screen shot of what it looks like over in Bluesky.

A fork in the road.

Manuel Moreale — Everything Feed Valid
Text • Manuel Moreale

Context

There’s a tweet I read a few weeks ago—and yes I call tweet everything that’s posted on microblogging platforms, don’t care if it’s Twitter, Mastodon, Bluesky etc—that I can’t stop thinking about: some of you couldn't last five seconds in pdx. trans people are so normalized...

Manton Reece Supports Webmention Valid
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Sent another Micro.blog iOS build out to beta folks, also decided to submit this one to Apple. Need to get these fixes out to everyone, even if there’s more to do.

Manton Reece Supports Webmention Valid
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Thoughts on Wind and Truth

If you haven’t read Wind and Truth, book 5 of the Stormlight Archive, please skip this post. Spoilers ahead. Knowing someone else’s opinion about a book before you read it risks ruining your own interpretation. I finished Wind and Truth last week and generally loved most of...

Manton Reece Supports Webmention Valid
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Saturday morning is a great time to draft a couple blog posts that won’t be published until later. I usually work a little every day, but the weekend should be quiet. Sometimes I wish I had the discipline to only announce new things on Tuesdays like Apple.

The Brian Lehrer Show
Audio • WNYC

Brian Lehrer Weekend: The State of Crime in the City, 100 Years of 100 Things: Housing Inequality, Adam Gopnik's Insomnia

Three of our favorite segments from the week, in case you missed them.

The State of Crime in the City  (First) | 100 Years of 100 Things: Housing Inequality (Starts at 35:17) | Adam Gopnik's Insomnia (Starts at 1:11:4 0)

If you don't subscribe to the Brian Lehrer Show on iTunes, you can do that here.


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<antirez>
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We are destroying software

http://antirez.com/news/145

We are destroying software by no longer taking complexity into account when adding features or optimizing some dimension. We are destroying software with complex build systems. We are destroying software with an absurd chain of dependencies, making everything bloated and fr...

Scripting News Valid
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I still haven't decided what to do about my Tesla Model Y, which still is a wonderful car, and I still love driving it after 2.5 years, which is amazing. But the other day it updated, and gave me a pause, if they let Musk hack their computers the way he's hacking ours, should I trust what it installs on the vehicle I drive every day that theoretically has the ability to take control of my car and drive it off the road? I wonder if the people at Tesla would like to reassure people who drive their cars that the updates are safe from hacking by one of his associates? How is security on the Tesla network?

Scripting News Valid
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It's our social web. “We started off with a network of writers, and ended up with business models of oligarchs. It's time to start building webs like we mean it and damn all the wannabe-billionaires.”

Scripting News Valid
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I had three questions this morning for Elie Mystal.

Scripting News Valid
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When we get back control of the government, ie they're following the Constitution, the Democratic leader in the Senate should be as ruthless as this bastard. Chuck Schumer is a nice guy and that sucks.

Scripting News Valid
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I have to say, a judge ruling that Musk has to stop, and delete all the info he has stolen, has made me feel much better. I don't know why, but I'm actually laughing out loud. The tight knot in my stomach has relaxed.

The Daily Updates instantly via WebSub
Audio • The New York Times

'The Interview': Denzel Washington Has Finally Found His Purpose

The legendary actor discusses the prophecy that changed his life, his Oscar snub and his upcoming role starring alongside a “complicated” Jake Gyllenhaal in “Othello” on Broadway. Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts or on Apple Podcasts and
Spotify. You can also subscribe via your favorite podcast app here
https://www.nytimes.com/activate-access/audio?source=podcatcher. For
more podcasts and narrated articles, download The New York Times app at
nytimes.com/app.

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Manton Reece Supports Webmention Valid
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Worked on some iPad fixes and pushed a new TestFlight beta, then settled in to watch the Spurs. Stephon Castle with 30+ points, really showing what he can do. 🏀

Built on Shards of Silicon: Robert Alexander's Tech Blog
Text • Robert Alexander

Choosing Vim over VSCode

Why I keep coming back to Vim

Scripting News Valid
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Behind the scenes in the US government I imagine it's like a Vonnegut novel, or an episode of Pinky and the Brain.

Scripting News Valid
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I wish Bluesky had just used the Twitter API. That's how I would've done it. Continuity matters a lot. And think of all time wasted at re-doing something we had working a long time ago.

Matt Mullenweg Valid
Text • Matt

On Logan Bartlett Show

You may not have heard of Logan Bartlett, but he’s one of the most hilarious people on Twitter and does a really interesting podcast. (He had a cool episode with Marc Benioff recently.) We sat down for a discussion on managing through crisis, open source and AI, employee liquidity, future of WordPress, and more. You … Continue reading On Logan Bartlett Show →