Author and journalist Tim Alberta joins the show for a special guest episode - talking everything from his new book, "The Kingdom, The Power, and The Glory: American Evangelicals in an Age of Extremism." to the rise of the MAGA GOP and how the modern evangelical movement has evolved to grow hand in hand with it. How did Trump go from "flawed vessel" to the vanguard of the evangelical movement? And how do evangelical voters come to terms with the contradictions inherent to MAGA? Where do we go from here? Tim reflects on his personal experience and offers one solution to breaking the fever.
Buy both books and check out Tim's work at https://www.bytimalberta.com/.
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That Trippi Show
If you're looking for someone who actually knows how presidential and national politics works to explain what's going on in 30 minutes or less, this is the show for you. Joe Trippi is a longtime Democratic campaign manager who ran the progressive Howard Dean presidential campaign in 2004 and the historic Doug Jones Senate campaign to defeat Roy Moore in 2017. He's seen it all and isn't bogged down by the viral tweets or hot takes du jour. He's looking past the headlines to answer the questions that matter: How do Democrats win key races moving forward? How do we convince voters to make Republicans pay for January 6th and its aftermath? What are we headed for in November? Don't just listen to the talking heads. Learn from an expert. Subscribe now to That Trippi Show. New episodes every Friday (at least!).
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"The dumbest campaign in modern American history"
With New Hampshire in the books - Joe looks under the hood at some shocking numbers for Trump in both New Hampshire and Iowa. And why the numbers are even better for President Biden than people realize. Is there still a GOP primary? Why Trump lashing out at Nikki Haley means he knows the truth we've been saying for a while: He's weaker than everyone thinks. And Joe and Alex celebrate episode #200 with a special listener question: What's the worst campaign in modern American history? (Hint, it's Ron DeSantis) Want a pick-me-up?
Read the inside story of how Ron DeSantis got destroyed: https://themessenger.com/politics/the-inside-story-of-how-ron-desantis-got-crushed-by-donald-trump-exclusive
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A huge red flag for Trump from Iowa
Joe and Alex break down Iowa - and what it means for the MAGA GOP primary moving forward. What's the big red flag for Trump we saw coming out of Iowa? What did Joe see that surprised him? The easiest way for Democrats to win in 2024 is simpler than most think. And why abortion rights are still the biggest thing headed into 2024, no matter what the media thinks.
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The biggest problem for Trump (and the GOP field) in Iowa and NH...
With just days to the Iowa caucus and NH less than two weeks away, what is the biggest problem every candidate faces right now? Joe goes into why the race between Haley and DeSantis for 2nd place might not be as simple as the polls make it out to be. Plus - yes Christie is out - but does it matter? And even though Trump can't help himself... his MAGAs aren't going anywhere.
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The most important thing Joe Biden can do right now... and he's doing it
Happy New Year! Joe and Alex are back to talk about a very eventful holiday break. More good news on the economy - why is it so important to repeat it? With Iowa less than two weeks away, Joe busts out his campaign manager hat and looks at reality - how many tickets out of Iowa are there for the GOP field? Could the Trump campaign empty out the bag of tricks to get the second place result they want? And what does Joe Biden's "perfect" campaign look like from here on out?
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Why Trump is weaker than you think - and what the polls are getting wrong, with Trygve Olson
Our friend Trygve Olson joins us to dig into the 2024 race. Why Joe thinks Trump is weaker than pundits believe -- and what all the polls are getting wrong. Trippi finds some encouraging numbers "under the hood" on the economy that Democrats should be very optimistic about. What two demographic groups does Trygve identify as critical in 2024? And the four states right now we believe are the key battlegrounds. Joe and Trygve also answer a listener question about the primaries and what might come next...
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Joe's 3 reasons things are looking even better going into 2024
Joe and Alex dive into some more good news for Joe Biden - have we turned the corner on how voters see the economy? Joe's 3 reasons why we should all be optimistic going into 2024. Plus - of course we have to talk about Colorado. Why Joe's all about victory at the ballot box -- but why the Colorado decision is helpful for Democrats regardless of the outcome. And we take a look back at Joe's five reasons for optimism headed into 2022 - and why they're all still relevant now.
Also - stay tuned next week for our final guest episode of 2023!
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Why everyone's missing Trump's biggest reason to worry
Joe and Alex check in on a TON of really good economic numbers -- and why it's all good news for President Biden. When will voters come around on the economy? What's the Biden campaign doing to make sure they know? And why Joe thinks now is Trump's ceiling and Biden's floor. We get into the questions you've been sending in for the past few weeks. And why is one number showing Trump's biggest weakness that nearly everyone is overlooking?
Read EJ Dionne's piece in the Washington Post here: https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/12/10/biden-economic-messaging-election-2024/
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"We're Trump Davidians" - Believe what Trumpland is telling you, with Jon Karl
ABC Chief Political Correspondent and author Jon Karl joins the show to discuss his new book, "Tired of Winning: Donald Trump and the end of the Grand Old Party." Do not miss the alarm Jon sounds about the state of our democracy and how the guardrails are fully off the Trump train. What revelations did he have straight from Steve Bannon and other Republicans close to Trump? Why Trump's campaign launch in Waco was no accident. And why when Trump spouts fascist rhetoric, we have to take him at his word. And why Trump is so different now than in 2016 or 2020.
Get Jon's book here: https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/730629/tired-of-winning-by-jonathan-karl/
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How Democrats are winning the West and omens for 2024 surprises with Mark Z. Barabak
Mark Barabak, columnist at the LA Times, joins Joe and Alex in the first of many 2024 breakdowns -- and this time, it's all about the New West. Of course, the conversation has to start and end with Arizona. But Alex almost immediately derails our state breakdowns after Mark makes the claim Joe's been making for months - why Mark thinks Trump may be weaker than many think. What's going on in states like Colorado and New Mexico? And is the machine that Reid built alive and well in Nevada? And a bonus: Why 20 years ago Joe was secretly going to... Mike Huckabee rallies in Iowa?
Read Mark's series at the Los Angeles Times: https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2023-06-16/columnist-mark-z-barabak-the-new-west
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From UFO conspiracies to Alex Jones lies to January 6th... with Garrett Graff
What happens when the government doesn't know something? Is it a cover up? Or just more conspiracy fodder? From one conspiracy to another - our friend Garrett Graff joins the show to talk about his new book UFO - and answers some pretty shocking questions. Why there's a direct line between UFO conspiracies and January 6th - what's behind that?
What's the real scandal behind the government and UFOs? Hint: It's not bodies covered up in Area 51. How all this could really be transformational.
Pick up a copy of UFO now: https://www.simonandschuster.com/books/UFO/Garrett-M-Graff/9781982196776
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"Gotta get louder than the liars" with Brian Stelter
So much winning! (unless you're Glenn Youngkin)
Joe and Alex recap a big week for Democrats - and for Joe Biden. Ohio, Virginia, and Kentucky all make it clear: when voters see MAGA coming for their rights... it doesn't turn out very well for MAGA. Pour one out for Glenn Youngkin's presidential aspirations. Why Joe sees big things for Andy Beshear. Plus: Yeah, they do talk about *that* poll. And the latest debate -- and second place in Iowa is going to matter even more now.
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"The hijacker is never really popular on the plane" - with Stuart Stevens
Friend and Lincoln Project colleague Stuart Stevens joins the pod to talk about his new book: "The Conspiracy to End America." There are five elements at work when democracy slides into autocracy - and Stuart takes an eye-opening look at how all five are working in concert with today's MAGA GOP. What do he and Joe think their endgame is? This is a conversation you don't want to miss. Plus - with Iowa less than 75 days away - where do things stand in the GOP primary?
Here's where to order Stuart's book: https://www.hachettebookgroup.com/titles/stuart-stevens/the-conspiracy-to-end-america/9781538765401/?lens=twelve
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"Great, you got the brass ring, buddy, have fun with it"
Speaker watch 2023 (part infinity) is over. Why Joe thinks it might not be over... and how MAGA handed Democrats a huge gift with their Speaker pick. Trump and No Labels are happy with it - which is all you need to know. Why Dean Phillips is biting off more than he can chew. And new data that we all should be concerned about. 1/3 of GOP voters think violence is legitimate... why Joe is not surprised. And a reminder - That Trippi Show is free with support from our advertisers. This episode is brought to you by BetterHelp.
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Trump's legal defense (and Jim Jordan's speaker bid)
Breaking news out of Georgia while Joe and Alex record this week's episode - Sidney Powell pled guilty in Fulton County. Why her plea is a big deal. And why Jim Jordan's masochism may not be over anytime soon. The latest in the ridiculous Speaker fight. And why - good or bad - we're still fixated on the wrong things when it comes to recent polling. What does Joe think are the two things you need to remember when you look at ANY poll - and why voters are showing us a clear rejection of MAGA.
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"Your problem is that you're looking at this rationally, not as a cult member."
The GOP is completely derelict in their duty to America, to democracy, and our allies like Israel. Joe gets into the clear contrast between Joe Biden's clear moral leadership and the dysfunction and chaos in the MAGA GOP. Why Joe isn't surprised at Trump's reaction to Israel - but also why he doesn't think it's going to matter with his base. What's going on with the race for Speaker of the House? Why Joe thinks we aren't going to see a resolution anytime soon. And what the coverage of House dysfunction is missing -- why this very much isn't the same on both sides.
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"GOP surprised the face-eating leopards ate their faces"
Ding-dong! McCarthy's out! Joe and Alex take a break from laughing to point out just how unsurprising it is. The headlines should all talk about face-eating leopards... What's the fallout going to be short-term and going into 2024? Also, Joe makes a couple of bold predictions about the Trump civil trial - how does that all tie in with the House chaos? And new maps in Alabama are a great sign for equal representation in Congress and another potential seat pickup for Democrats. Plus, your usual check-in on the No Labels fallacy.
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"Messy?" That's very generous...
We talk about this week's GOP debate as quickly as we can - and why we really don't need to talk about it. Joe wonders about how a campaign team could let their candidates walk into a mess like that - and what they're supposed to be doing about it. Joe's also not happy about the polls - but not about the numbers they show. What numbers do actually matter? And why voters break away from President Biden when given the No Labels option - and what we have to do about it.
A reminder that our show is free because of our sponsors -- we encourage you to check them out and see if they're right for you.
This episode is brought to you by BetterHelp. Visit BetterHelp.com/trippi today to get 10% off your first month.
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A house of crazies and muttering about jumpsuits
Trump's telling the MAGA House to shut down the government to avoid his prosecution - and we hear that behind the scenes, he's picking out his prison wardrobe... And we don't really see a way out for the 18 Republicans in Biden-held seats. Is this the most dysfunctional GOP ever? And what is Joe seeing behind the scenes in New Hampshire that might help a Trump primary challenger? How far might the fight go?
Read Rick Wilson's piece on strategy here: https://therickwilson.substack.com/p/tough-love-for-the-democrats?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2
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"Sometimes, you just gotta call out their BS"
They just can't help themselves. Why impeachment (not to mention another shutdown attempt) will backfire on MAGA in the places they need help the most. 18 House Republicans in Biden-won districts will not like where this is going... and why John Fetterman's exactly right to call 'em out. Plus, a new poll that shows... gasp... good news for Democrats? Why the math looks better and better for President Biden.
Read Greg Sargent's latest column in the Washington Post here: https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/09/14/trump-2024-chances-michigan-wisconsin/
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One poll 14 months out, or 40 years of Presidential results?
We really need to stop handwringing about these polls! Joe gets into why 40 years of presidential elections show just how meaningless any poll 14 months out is. And how do Democrats handle the age question? Turns out, Joe Biden's already answering it. Hint: 170,000+ jobs created from the Inflation Reduction Act is just the start of the contrast. Why should we keep our eyes on Tennessee? And why the recent ruling about the Alabama congressional districts is a big deal. Read more about those job creation numbers: https://www.fastcompany.com/90938486/inflation-reduction-act-bidens-land-mark-climate-bill
Sidenote: Joe was on the road recording in a hotel room, so please bear with us on any technical audio difficulties. Thanks you!
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"You don't have to outrun the bear, you just have to outrun the rest of the field"
Need advice? Joe's got you covered. Tons of questions from listeners about what candidates ought to be doing right now.
How do you win Iowa and New Hampshire? What candidates can learn from Gary Hart. Plus - does foreign policy really matter at this stage? And a few more questions answered in Joe's "lightning round." And what idea does a listener have that might solve the No Labels spoiler question?
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"Two completely different worlds."
Who won the first GOP debate? You wouldn't know based on watching the coverage. Joe thinks he knows - but why won't he tell us who it is? What could change in Iowa? Plus, why we saw so many hopefuls tanking with general election voters in real time. And why everything we saw this week is moving Gen Z further and further away from the GOP. Did Fox try to hide the debate? And why Joe Biden was the biggest winner of the week.
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"It's not a political party; it's an authoritarian movement" with Reed Galen
Joe is joined by Reed Galen, co-founder of the Lincoln Project, to talk all things Trump indictments and what to expect. Hint: We've still gotta beat him at the ballot box. And if you didn't think it was a vast criminal conspiracy before... of course there's video. And we check in on Ron DeSantis' latest faceplants. On the positive side - another win for Bidenomics. How do we break through the right-wing media bubble who can't stop bleating that it's failing?
Watch the video of Roger Stone talking about their Georgia plan. You've gotta see it to believe it.
https://twitter.com/ProjectLincoln/status/1691941817837609069
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"Trust me, I've seen this movie before." Ohio, the economy, and more
What Joe thinks Ohio really shows about the MAGA cult. Why 57% (and counting) is a huge number. And why it's further proof the red wave was never happening in 2022. What does it mean going forward? Why the only poll that matters should set off big red warning lights flashing in MAGA campaign HQs right now and is it really, the economy, stupid? What everyone - especially the media - is missing right now about economic numbers. Hint: What happened during the early Reagan years? Take it from someone who's seen all of this before.
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"The one we really have to win" All eyes on Ohio, with David Pepper
Yeah, we have to talk about the indictments. But we've got a huge election in Ohio next week, so we welcome back David Pepper to run down what's happening in the huge special election.
But first - the one stat that shows just how little these indictments are going to affect the Republican presidential primary. Joe and David explain why they may hurt Trump in the general, but the ultra-MAGA crowd has the primary locked down. And in Ohio - Why the Issue 1 vote is the front line in the fight for democracy and our rights and how we must stop the far right's attempt to claw back a victory by changing the rules.
Read the indictment here: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/aug/01/trump-indictment-full-text-2020-election-jan-6
Sign up to help in Ohio at jointheunion.us.
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"I don't even have a word for how despicable it is"
Joe and Alex dive into some polling so bad we just had to talk about it. If you buy that Trump's winning women after losing them by 15 in 2020 and Dobbs - well, you can probably stop listening. So why are these polls even coming out? Joe has a theory. And yes, Ron DeSantis is having an even worse week, why he might want to fly commercial pretty fast, and of course, we get to a few of your questions.
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"It's been over since he came down the damn escalator"
Could the entire GOP field be having a worse week? Why the looming batch of indictments probably won't hurt Trump in the primary, but Joe thinks he could make the difference in the general. Yeah, Ron DeSantis is having a horrible week, is he the worst primary candidate ever? All of this is good news for Joe Biden, but why does Joe think his ceiling is even higher? And why 2024 might not be a repeat of 2020, and we have young voters to thank for it.
Read more about that here: https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/07/19/gen-z-voters-2024/
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What can you trust? An AI deep dive with Bart Myers
We've been promising another AI episode, and we're really excited about this one. Our friend Bart Myers, founder of Countable, joins the show to talk about the latest developments in AI and what it means for campaigns -- especially in the current social media environment. Also - a very real threat from deepfakes -- and it's not the obvious one. What do we need to be watching out for? What's one out of the box solution for combating misinformation? And what's going to happen as Twitter goes down the tubes and more and more competitors pop up?
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