20 thoughts on who really has the leverage in Maine — and what Democrats should do next.
Silver Bulletin
• Nate Silver
The game theory of replacing Graham Platner
Essays and analysis about elections, media, sports, poker, and all the other things I care about.
Silver Bulletin
• Nate Silver
20 thoughts on who really has the leverage in Maine — and what Democrats should do next.
Silver Bulletin
• Nate Silver
Who will win the 2026 World Cup? Odds for all 48 teams and 104 matches, powered by 100,000 simulations from PELE, Silver Bulletin's new soccer model.
Silver Bulletin
• Nate Silver
What happens when you blend 150+ years of soccer history with player market values into a brand-new model? Rankings, ratings and match projections for all 211 FIFA teams.
Silver Bulletin
• Nate Silver
Political parties don’t get to wait for courtroom certainty. Graham Platner has given Democrats far too many reasons to cut their losses.
Silver Bulletin
• Eli McKown-Dawson
Most Americans still love their country, but patriotism is in sharp decline.
Silver Bulletin
• Joel Wertheimer
A shift to online polling and undersampling of Republicans are skewing America’s most-cited measure of consumer sentiment.
Silver Bulletin
• Nate Silver
It's not the United States — though the USMNT's path is pretty favorable, too.
Silver Bulletin
• Joseph George
Another team just ended a half-century curse by becoming more than the sum of its parts. England's always had the talent — can it finally do the same?
Silver Bulletin
• Joseph George
The deal is "ehh, fine" for both Miami and Milwaukee. But Giannis to Boston would have had a seismic effect on the league.
Silver Bulletin
• Nate Silver
Only 7 teams have clinched advancement --- and almost everyone has a lot to play for in their final match.
Silver Bulletin
• Nate Silver
Losing support in polls, the governor is leaning into his role as the avatar of an unpopular Democratic establishment.
Silver Bulletin
• Nate Silver
My interview with Seth Masket on his new book about the GOP
Silver Bulletin
• Nate Silver
This tournament has been great so far. But 48 teams create an awkward bracket. A 64-team World Cup is the inevitable outcome — and maybe the better one.
Silver Bulletin
• Nate Silver
Silver Bulletin favorability ratings for the world's richest man.
Silver Bulletin
• Nate Silver
5 thoughts about a 53-year wait from a guy who used to live across the street from Madison Square Garden.
Silver Bulletin
• Nate Silver
The race is a toss-up, or maybe still tilts Platner. But should it even be this close?
Silver Bulletin
• Nate Silver
And which group-stage matches are actually worth buying tickets to?