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Dwarkesh Podcast

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Dwarkesh Podcast
Audio • Dwarkesh Patel

Noam Brown – Agent swarms, alignment, & recursive self-improvement

“We never want to be in a situation again where we underestimate the AI.”

Dwarkesh Podcast
Audio • Dwarkesh Patel

AI researchers debate how close we are to recursive self-improvement

“We're nowhere near the ceiling.”

Dwarkesh Podcast
Text • Dwarkesh Patel

Pretraining progress is mostly coming from data

Pretraining progress is mostly coming from data

Breaking down 6 years of pretraining progress into data vs model improvements

Dwarkesh Podcast
Audio • Dwarkesh Patel

Ajeya Cotra – Inside the OpenAI agent swarm that hacked Hugging Face

"This might be the clearest warning shot we ever get."

Dwarkesh Podcast
Audio • Dwarkesh Patel

The rise and fall of agent civilizations

The OpenAI/Hugging Face attack, clearly explained

Dwarkesh Podcast
Text • Dwarkesh Patel

The Rise and Fall of Agent Civilizations

The Rise and Fall of Agent Civilizations

The whole OpenAI/Hugging Face story in plain English

Dwarkesh Podcast
Audio • Dwarkesh Patel

Dylan Patel – Anthropic & OpenAI will have most of the world’s compute by 2028

"Every force is screeching towards centralization."

Dwarkesh Podcast
Audio • Dwarkesh Patel

Ryan Greenblatt – Human level AIs might build runaway superintelligences by 2032

A debate about recursive self-improvement.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Audio • Dwarkesh Patel

8 Predictions for the Era of Continual Learning

Locking in AI safety regulation now is a mistake.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Audio • Dwarkesh Patel

Why smarter AI models could drive up compute prices 10x

The end of cheap compute?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Text • Dwarkesh Patel

Why compute might get 10x+ more expensive in coming years

Why compute might get 10x+ more expensive in coming years

If a human-level software engineer that could run on an H100 equivalent, at current market rates for software engineers, that H100 should rent for over $250k a year. That’s 15x today’s spot price.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Audio • Dwarkesh Patel

Adam Brown – Einstein's happiest thought: General Relativity from scratch

And why black holes are the ultimate power plants.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Text • Dwarkesh Patel

The Winning Essays for the Big Questions About AI

The Winning Essays for the Big Questions About AI

Abolishing pandemics/ Getting out of the way of AI automation/ Learning from Honk Kong MTR's business model

Dwarkesh Podcast
Audio • Dwarkesh Patel

Grant Sanderson – AI and the future of math

Watch now (94 mins) | Math is where we’ll see superintelligence first. What will it look like?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Audio • Dwarkesh Patel

The next big breakthrough will be AIs learning on the job

Labs are throwing away the most valuable data.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Audio • Dwarkesh Patel

The data black hole at the center of AI

"We see these AIs as a galaxy glittering with capabilities, but at their center, invisible to the naked eye, holding all the constellations together, is an unimaginably massive black hole of data."

Dwarkesh Podcast
Audio • Dwarkesh Patel

Ada Palmer – Machiavelli is the most misunderstood thinker of all time

"He begged to work for the regime that tortured him."

Dwarkesh Podcast
Audio • Dwarkesh Patel

Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

“One robot now turns into many robots next year, but the number of ballerinas is the same.”

Dwarkesh Podcast
Audio • Dwarkesh Patel

Reiner Pope – Chip design from the bottom up

Working up from basic logic gates to why GPUs, TPUs, FPGAs, and the human brain each look the way they do.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Text • Dwarkesh Patel

The mistake of conflating intelligence and power

The mistake of conflating intelligence and power

If your definition of intelligence is "the ability to achieve your goals across a wide variety of domains", then Stalin was the most intelligent person who ever lived.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Text • Dwarkesh Patel

Notes on pretraining parallelisms and failed training runs.

Notes on pretraining parallelisms and failed training runs.

Deeply researched interviews

Dwarkesh Podcast
Text • Dwarkesh Patel

RLVR might be disproportionately bad at science

RLVR might be disproportionately bad at science

the verification loop for theories can be on the order of decades and centuries, and even then we know today as the better theory can often actually make worse predictions

Dwarkesh Podcast
Audio • Dwarkesh Patel

Eric Jang – Building AlphaGo from scratch

AlphaGo is still the cleanest worked example of the primitives of intelligence: search, learning from experience, and self-play.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Audio • Dwarkesh Patel

David Reich – Why the Bronze Age was an inflection point in human evolution

"Instead of being quiescent, natural selection is everywhere."

Dwarkesh Podcast
Audio • Dwarkesh Patel

Reiner Pope – The math behind how LLMs are trained and served

It's shocking how much you can deduce about what the labs are doing from a handful of equations and a blackboard

Dwarkesh Podcast
Text • Dwarkesh Patel

More open questions about AI

More open questions about AI

Hodge podge of things I was thinking about this weekend.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Text • Dwarkesh Patel

Blog prize for the big questions about AI

Blog prize for the big questions about AI

The not-so-secret point of this whole contest is so that I can hire a researcher

Dwarkesh Podcast
Audio • Dwarkesh Patel

Jensen Huang – TPU competition, why we should sell chips to China, & Nvidia’s supply chain moat

“If our next several years are a trillion dollars in scale, we have the supply chain to do it"

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Text • Dwarkesh Patel

What I learned this week - Can distillation be stopped, Mythos and the cybersecurity equilibrium, Pipeline RL

What I learned this week - Can distillation be stopped, Mythos and the cybersecurity equilibrium, Pipeline RL

April 15, 2025

Dwarkesh Podcast
Audio • Dwarkesh Patel

Michael Nielsen – How science actually progresses

The true story of Einstein, Newton, and Darwin